Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.006785 0.007592 0.008472 0.009505 0.010687 0.012001 0.013578
2025-03-16 0.005277 0.006321 0.007554 0.009127 0.011093 0.013489 0.016658
2025-03-23 0.004560 0.005712 0.007147 0.009082 0.011654 0.014998 0.019743
2025-03-30 0.004226 0.005495 0.007146 0.009482 0.012757 0.017261 0.024068
2025-04-06 0.003731 0.004994 0.006694 0.009193 0.012846 0.018108 0.026482
2025-04-13 0.003344 0.004590 0.006318 0.008945 0.012930 0.018913 0.028896
2025-04-20 0.003090 0.004341 0.006127 0.008926 0.013328 0.020205 0.032224
2025-04-27 0.002957 0.004250 0.006148 0.009217 0.014220 0.022358 0.037271
2025-05-04 0.002759 0.004044 0.005974 0.009179 0.014570 0.023653 0.041011
2025-05-11 0.002607 0.003893 0.005867 0.009233 0.015065 0.025240 0.045509
2025-05-18 0.002439 0.003701 0.005679 0.009128 0.015270 0.026326 0.049205
2025-05-25 0.002335 0.003603 0.005630 0.009252 0.015885 0.028224 0.054812
2025-06-01 0.002194 0.003439 0.005471 0.009184 0.016175 0.029606 0.059733
2025-06-08 0.002011 0.003195 0.005159 0.008819 0.015872 0.029807 0.062171
2025-06-15 0.001901 0.003066 0.005032 0.008776 0.016181 0.031272 0.067732
2025-06-22 0.001870 0.003067 0.005131 0.009161 0.017380 0.034759 0.078788
2025-06-29 0.001741 0.002888 0.004896 0.008883 0.017189 0.035210 0.082415
2025-07-06 0.001628 0.002732 0.004690 0.008644 0.017052 0.035760 0.086412
2025-07-13 0.001556 0.002642 0.004600 0.008626 0.017386 0.037439 0.093800
2025-07-20 0.001527 0.002630 0.004654 0.008906 0.018409 0.040899 0.106996
2025-07-27 0.001461 0.002545 0.004560 0.008870 0.018710 0.042638 0.115576
2025-08-03 0.001410 0.002484 0.004511 0.008921 0.019220 0.044979 0.126587
2025-08-10 0.001346 0.002394 0.004396 0.008821 0.019355 0.046359 0.134866